Wednesday, January 31, 2007

nfl.com by:Gil Brandt - Brandt's Super Bowl analysis

Immediately following the conference championship games, the big questions -- Who is going to win? What are both teams going to do to win the game? -- start getting asked. I think some of the trends that led to success in previous Super Bowls may not be as strong over the last couple of years as they were 10 years ago. That said, we'll try to give you some thoughts on what it will take to win Super Bowl XLI.

For starters, here's a look at the key numbers from the regular season that we've been using to analyze the playoffs: 

                                                 Indianapolis                                     Chicago
Common opponents                     5-0                                                 3-2
Points scored                                 427                                                 427
Points allowed                               360                                                 255
Turnover differential                 plus-7                                              plus-8
Sack differential                          plus-10                                           plus-15
Time of possession                      29:32                                              30:34

A few notes about this: The teams that allowed fewer points in the regular season are 28-11 in the Super Bowl (in 2004, the Patriots and Eagles allowed the same number of points)… In the last four games of the regular season, the Colts allowed 109 points and the Bears allowed 105. In the playoffs, the Colts have allowed an average of 16 points per game, and the Bears have allowed 19 points per game.

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